Closing Recap
Tuesday, May 26, 2026
|
Index |
Up/Down |
% |
Last |
|
DJ Industrials |
-117.16 |
0.23% |
50,462 |
|
S&P 500 |
45.94 |
0.61% |
7,519 |
|
Nasdaq |
312.21 |
1.19% |
26,656 |
|
Russell 2000 |
51.32 |
1.79% |
2,920 |
Another day, another record on Wall Street as tech was the leader again! The Nasdaq 100 index hit new record highs, S&P 500 (SPX) hit record highs (again) while the Smallcap Russell 2000 outperformed behind a pullback in Treasury yields ahead of key PCE inflation data later this week. The S&P 500 comes into the week riding an 8 week winning streak, its longest since 2023. Tech was strong all day as the Nasdaq 100 crosses 30,000 for the first time ever and the Philly semiconductor index (SOX) surges again, more than 5% to fresh record highs behind monster gains in memory stocks. Semi’s continue to be among the highest performing AI stocks in an astounding move the last 3 years, up 80% YTD in 5 months alone. Micron (MU) shares surged 20% to become a trillion dollar valuation company in a dizzying rally that has cemented the largest U.S. memory chipmaker as one of the standout winners of the AI boom (up 73% this month and 214% YTD after being one of the top gainers in the S&P in 2025). One name that has rallied over the last 7 days is the AI leader, NVidia (NVDA), which has fallen 6 of last 7 days including after better results/guidance while AMD sets new record highs above $500 for the first time. The same story playing out on Wall Street every day for months with tech/Ai/semis etc. leading and pushing major averages higher as the only story investors are focusing on while Iran/U.S. talks, Treasury yields, oil prices and inflation concerns have all been a distant second.
While the AI, power, semi chips and industrial growing demand and revs boost the economy and stock market, the next phase of euphoria is coming with the IPO buzz getting louder ahead of upcoming new issues from SpaceX, OpenAI. Elon Musk’s SpaceX, which has filed for an initial public offering, aims to morph from a space launch and connectivity provider to a fully scaled vertically integrated AI company. Its S-1 filing noted the acquisition of xAI. OpenAI, according to reports, could launch an IPO as soon as September. Anthropic may follow. OpenAI reportedly generated about $5.7B in Q1 revenue. Growth was largely driven by traction with its coding agent, Codex, as well as ad testing on ChatGPT.
Stats of the day: 1)@Bluekurtic noted on X, “Nasdaq 100 is displaying a level of strength last seen over 16 years ago. Similar to S&P 500, $NDX RSI has stayed above 60 for 32 days while index is within 2% of its all-time high. Two weeks later, NDX was positive 7 of 8 times and 100% of the time three months later. $QQQ” 2) @TradingThomas3 noted on X, “$SOXX has closed green 31 of the last 38 trading days and rallied over 85% in that stretch.”
Economic Data
- U.S. single-family house prices edged up in March, but further increases are unlikely as the war with Iran pushes mortgage rates higher, dampening housing demand. House prices gained 0.1% after a downwardly revised 0.1% dip in February, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said on Tuesday. Prices were previously reported to have been flat in February. They increased 1.7% in the 12 months through March, after rising by the same margin in February. House prices rose 1.7% in the first quarter compared to the first three months of 2025.
Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries
- U.S. WTI crude oil futures settle at $93.89/bbl, down $2.71, or 2.81% while Brent crude futures bounced, rising $3.44 or 3.58% to settle at $99.58 per barrel after settling down over -6% on Monday. The move came after on reports the United States and Iran were moving closer to a peace deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, even though Washington and Tehran played down hopes for an imminent breakthrough. June gold settles -$20.90/oz, or -0.46%, at $4,502.30an ounce while July silver rises +$0.41/oz, or +0.53%, to settle at $76.61.
- Treasury yields slip further; after the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly climbed to 4.687% last week, its highest level since January 2025, it has since retreated to around 4.50%, falling over 8bps today. The U.S. Treasury sold $69B in 2-year noted at 4.071%, in-line with when issued but well above the prior auction of 3.812% with bid-to-cover at 2.6 vs. prior auction 2.65 as dealers took 12.3%, direct bidders 30.1% and indirect bidders awarded 57.6% of auction.
|
Macro |
Up/Down |
Last |
|
WTI Crude |
-2.71 |
93.89 |
|
Brent |
3.44 |
9.58 |
|
Gold |
-20.90 |
4,502.30 |
|
EUR/USD |
-0.0013 |
1.163 |
|
JPY/USD |
0.41 |
159.30 |
|
10-Year Note |
-0.077 |
4.494% |
Sector News Breakdown
Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:
- Autos: RACE revealed its first electric vehicle, the Luce, a $640,000 four-door EV designed with input from former Apple design chief Jony Ive; produces over 1,000 horsepower with a 122 kWh battery and more than 330 miles of range; features a large iPad-style touchscreen while keeping some physical controls; AZO reported Q3 EPS that topped consensus on in line revs $4.84B while gross margin slips to 52.2% due to a non-cash inventory charge, despite underlying improvements. LEA was upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Cowen following the encouraging results of its 2026 US vehicle density survey. TDCowen views Lear as being well-positioned for its Na Auto production upside call, which should drive multiple expansion.
- Leisure Activity: in golf industry (CALY, GOLF), Truist noted based on their sample data set, U.S. Golf Equipment retail sales were +6.0% Y/y in April; sales gains for April continue to be driven by price (+5.5%); comparatively, volume was +0.5%; putters once again led sales growth while gloves continue to show strength.
Energy
- In Oil majors: BP shares fall as removes Chairman Albert Manifold with immediate effect; says removal follows serious concerns raised to board related to important governance standards, oversight and conduct. In research, OXY was upgraded to Overweight at Barclays with higher tgt of $72 saying at higher oil prices, the company should reach its debt target and prefunding of the Berkshire preferred stake by the second half of 2027. EXE was downgrade to Equal Weight, at Barclays and lowered PT to $110 (from $127) which reflects the tempered gas outlook and less visible near-term catalyst path despite the discounted valuation.
- Nuclear/Utility: OKLO said it has been selected by US energy department for advanced talks on using cold war-era plutonium for Nuclear reactor fuel; partnership includes investment of up to $2B via NewCleo-affiliated vehicle; NNE announced the acquisition of Secured Transportation Services LLC (STS), a specialized U.S. based, globally operating nuclear logistics, transportation and services company specializing in the safe, secure and compliant movement of radioactive and nuclear materials.
Financials
- In Insurance: TRV was downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan, while raise tgt to $322 from $316saying their prior rating was premised on consensus estimates being too high, as well as certain risk factors such as adverse development in casualty reserves and TRV’s exposure to workers’ compensation (WC) business presenting greater downside risk for Travelers compared to peers.
Biotech & Pharma:
- BBIO was downgraded from Outperform to Market Perform at Raymond James saying Attruby continues to gain share among TTR stabilizers, however, thinks increasing payer-driven risks into 2031 Vyndamax LOE may result in shares struggling to sustain meaningful upside even as multiple new drug launches diversify the revenue base.
- BHVN reports new clinical data in epilepsy with opakalim, a selective kv7.2/7.3 activator, highlighting seizure control and markedly differentiated tolerability profile; opakalim prolongs median time to second seizure to 141 days versus. 47 days for placebo; on track for top-line phase 2/3 results in refractory focal epilepsy in 2h 2026
- EDIT shares tumbled after 55.6M share Secondary priced at $2.25.
- LLY agreed to acquire three companies, Curevo, LimmaTech Biologics, and Vaccine Company for nearly $4B, that expand its research and development efforts into infectious disease. Eli Lilly agrees to acquire Curevo for up to $1.5B in cash for shingles vaccine, LimmaTech for $780M, Vaccine Company for $1.55B
- OLMA said it signed a clinical trial and supply agreement with German drugmaker Bayer for its experimental drug OP-3136 which is being developed in combination with Bayer’s darolutamide to treat patients with a type of prostate cancer.
- OTLK said it plans to resubmit a marketing application for its eye disease treatment in June after the U.S. FDA declined to approve it in December. OTLK’s treatment, Lytenava, targets wet age-related macular degeneration, a common eye disease that causes vision loss due to leaking blood vessels in the retina.
Industrials & Materials
- In Industrials: HON’s Quantinuum is targeting a valuation of up to $12.7B in its U.S. initial public offering, it said on Tuesday; the company is planning to raise up to $1.05B by selling about 21.05 million shares at $45 to $50 apiece. It had raised funds at a valuation of $10B in its latest funding round. MOD entered a long-term capacity agreement with one of its data-center customers to supply it with more than $4B worth of its cooling products between 2027 and 2029; noted it received a $165M upfront cash payment from the undisclosed customer.
- In Automation: JP Morgan upgraded shares of ALNT, CGNX, and TKR to Overweight, and reiterating Overweight on RRX, HLIO, and GTES, reflecting its conviction in both robust short-cycle recovery and structural tailwinds from data Centers, Robotics, and humanoids. JPM continues to see its Automation sub-sector outperform the broader market, as “mother machines” signal a clear cyclical inflection and accelerating structural growth. Industry data show a durable rebound in industrial activity, with broad based order strength.
- In Airlines: UBS said they believe any potential conflict resolution in the Middle East can act as a meaningful catalyst for airline stocks. UAL is UBS’s top pick in the space followed by DAL, ALK, AAL and LUV noting JETS has declined -3.5% YTD vs S&P 500 at around +10% and has created a solid opportunity, as the firm updated estimates imply around 50% EPS growth for 2027 for several airlines.
Aerospace & Defense
- In Space & Satellite: shares FLY, BKSY, RDW, VOYG, ASTS among early names seeing early strength as Reuters reported the Pentagon spars with SpaceX over Starlink price hike during Iran war. As U.S. kamikaze drones guided by Elon Musk’s Starlink network began to make visible gains in the war against Iran, senior SpaceX officials reached a conclusion: The Pentagon should be paying more for access to their satellite Wi-Fi network – CNBC. SpaceX’s scrubbed Thursday launch might have led to Friday’s sector gains as well for the group while Tuesday’s gains follow the Starship test flight, as the redesigned version three of the rocket demonstrated engine upgrades and successfully deployed dummy satellites. Still, there were some engine issues with the booster/upper stage. LUNR shares later reversed lower after NASA provided updates as Blue Origin to deliver first lunar terrain vehicle. Also, SpaceX reportedly awarded $2.29B contract from US Space Force for space data network development while NASA picked Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin, FLY and other space companies to send robotic landers, rovers and drones to the moon as part of the effort to jumpstart a lunar base before the end of the decade
- In Defense/Gov’t services: BAH was upgraded from Hold to Buy at Stifel saying fundamentals are slowly improving, the stock is beaten down, and evidence suggests the risk of guidance cuts are in the rearview mirror. Substantially better coverage of BAH’s initial FY outlook by remaining performance obligations suggests less risk of guidance cuts and makes US comfortable buying shares ahead of likely a strong 2H.
Technology
- Hyperscalers: JPM materially raises its top 4 U.S. hyperscaler cloud DC capex outlook again, now forecasting +80% y/y growth in 2026 to ~$575B+ and +50% growth in 2027 to ~$860B+, both record levels. The firm highlighted Google/Meta tracking ~100% y/y capex growth in 2026, while North America installed DC capacity is now expected to reach 65GW in 2026 and 85GW in 2027. JPM also argues networking is increasingly becoming the key bottleneck/performance gating factor for AI infrastructure, leading it to favor networking names including APH, ANET, CLS, CIEN, COHR, CRDOand LITE over pure compute exposure
- Data Center Infrastructure: WULF acquired the “Muskie Data Campus” in Eastern Kentucky, targeting more than 1 GW of AI and HPC data center capacity. The initial 500 MW phase is expected to begin ramping in 2H 2028, with another 500 MW targeted for 2H 2030 (big gains today for infrastructure names HUT, CIFR, IREN, CLSK).
- Electrical Components & Equipment: VICR raised its Q2 revenue view to $142M from $126M prior and above consensus $125.47M in view of rising product rev and royalties from additional licensee to its power system tech
- Gaming Software: shares of APP, U bounced early after Edgewater saying that feedback shows META is no longer seen as likely to bid into no-IDFA traffic in the near-term.
- Networking/Optical sector: Bank America raised CIEN tgt to $660 and CSCO to $135 arguing Optical networking demand remains strong following Cisco’s Acacia commentary and accelerating Ai infrastructure deployments. The firm highlighted the industry transition from 400G to 800G pluggables as a major multi-year growth driver, with 800G revenues for both companies expected to approach ~$250M each in 2026.
- Internet: GRPN board approves restructuring plan to become Ai-native company; to reduce up to 400 positions globally by end of Q3 2026 and estimates pre-tax charges of $7M-$13M for restructuring while estimates $20M-$25M in annualized cost savings from Payroll actions; increases full year adj EBITDA guidance to $75M-$80M.
Semiconductors:
- Record highs continue daily for the SOX index, up another 5.5% today topping 12,875 with gains in power names, analog, memory, GPU names, CPU names – it hasn’t mattered as the group up 8-% this year already alone (5 months). Huge moves MU, SNDK, WDC, STX yet again. AMD record highs as index remains on fire.
- MU price tgt raised to $1,625 from $535 at UBS saying with LTAs now firmly in place across most of the industry, UBS is again raising C2027 2029 estimates and expect EPS to remain comfortably >$100 throughout the period, with MU generating over $400B in FCF across the same timeframe. UBS believes the market will start to put a more “normal” multiple on the stock and MU will continue to Re-rate higher as more details emerge about the structural changes Ai has driven to the entire memory complex.
- MXL and Edgecore Networks announced a strategic partnership to accelerate the development of AI-driven networking solutions for enterprise and service provider markets.
- QCOM has struck a deal to supply AI data center chips to TikTok owner ByteDance, per Bloomberg. ByteDance is set to buy millions of Qualcomm’s application-specific integrated circuits to power its AI agent software, making it one of the first major customers for the chipmaker’s AI-focused ASICs.
- ALAB, SMTC and INTC all downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Northland after run in shares.
- Analog semis: Bank America highlights TXN, ADI, and ON as its top AI power semiconductor picks, arguing the transition toward 800V AI data center architectures remains materially underappreciated. The firm sees TXN as the broadest beneficiary given its large power portfolio and leading share in analog/power management, while ADI’s acquisition of Empower strengthens its exposure to integrated voltage regulators and AI power delivery. The firm raised PTs across TXN, ON, ADI, on view that AI-driven content gains could materially exceed expectations.
Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.