Early Look

Friday, August 13, 2021

Futures	Up/Down	%	Last
Dow	50.00	0.14%	35,452
S&P 500	3.25	0.07%	4,457
Nasdaq	3.50	0.02%	15,081

 

 

Following a third straight record close for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, futures are again looking to push higher, building on the continued upward momentum. Volumes were very light on Thursday and market breadth was negative, but that didn’t stop major averages from climbing all day despite another rise in producer prices (PPI inflation data) as the S&P 500 recorded its 47^th record close this year (on track to beat its record of 62 record highs registered in 2017). Volume on U.S. exchanges was just 8.38 billion shares, making it one of the slowest trading days of the year. The average for the full session over the last 20 trading days is around 9.5 billion shares. It’s also now been 323 calendar days since the S&P 500 last ended, on a closing basis, a decline of 5% or more from a record high (according to Reuters). In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index slid -37 points to dip back below the 28,000 level, the Shanghai Index dipped -8 points to 3,516 and the Hang Seng Index dropped -126 points to 26,391. In Europe, the German DAX is higher by 75 points to move above the 16,000 level, while the FTSE 100 is up over 25 points to 7,220. After a consolidation day, crypto assets are surging again this morning, on track for weekly highs for Bitcoin around $46,500, Ethereum up over $3,250 and Bitcoin cash (BCH) up 5% around $640. In stock news, the FDA amended the emergency use authorizations granted for Pfizer (PFE)/BioNTech (BNTX) and Moderna (MRNA) COVID-19 vaccines on Thursday, allowing their use as booster shots in certain immunocompromised individuals

 

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index gained 13.13 points, or 0.30%, to 4,460.83

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged higher 14.88 points, or 0.04%, to 35,499.85

·     The Nasdaq Composite jumped 51.13 points, or 0.35%, to 14,816.26

·     The Russell 2000 Index declined -6.27 points, or 0.28% to 2,244.07

 

Events Calendar for Today

·     8:30 AM ET         Import/Export Prices MoM for July

·     10:00 AM ET      University of Michigan Sentiment, Aug-P

·     1:00 PM EST       Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: CL, ME, VERO

 

Other Key Events:

·     Cowen 9th Annual Internet & Media Bus Tour (virtual), 8/9-8/13

·     Credit Suisse 4th Annual FinTech Conference (virtual), 8/11-8/13

 

 

Macro	Up/Down	Last
Nymex	-0.02	69.07
Brent	0.03	71.34
Gold	10.10	1,761.90
EUR/USD	0.0018	1.1748
JPY/USD	-0.14	110.27
10-Year Note	-0.025	1.342%

 

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     AirBnB (ABNB) Q2 gross bookings $13.4B up 320% vs. est. $11.19B; saw strong demand for bookings in q2, achieving highest gross nights booked of any quarter; number of active listings grew in q2; active listings in non-urban destinations in Europe & N. America increased 8% from Q1 2021 to Q2; expect q3 rev to be co’s strongest qtrly rev on record and to deliver the highest adj Ebitda dollars and margin ever; expect GBV in q3 2021 to be well above 2019 levels, but below co saw in q2 due to impact of booking timing differences and cancellations

·     DoorDash (DASH) 2Q revs $1.2B vs est. $1.08B, qtrly total orders +69% to 345Mm, qtrly marketplace gov +70% to $10.5B; guides 3Q marketplace gov $9.3-9.8B with adj EBITDA $0-100Mm vs est. $44Mm; guides FY marketplace gov $39-40.5B w/ adj EBITDA $150-350Mm vs est. $213.5Mm

·     JBS SA, the world’s largest meatpacker, said late Thursday it has proposed buying the remaining common shares in Pilgrim’s Pride (PPC) for $26.50 per share in order to delist its U.S.-based subsidiary, which represents a premium of about 17% to PPC’s last close

·     PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) and Boston Beer Co. (SAM) said they plan to partner on an alcoholic version of the Mountain Dew soft drink with the brand Hard Mtn Dew. The coming product is a nod to what the companies see as evolving tastes of drinkers, executives said Tuesday.

·     Fiesta Restaurant (FRGI) Q2 EP S0.11, in-line with ests; Q2 revs $91.2M, consensus $157.49M; Comp restaurant sales at Pollo Tropical increased 43.5%; comparable restaurant sales at Taco Cabana increased 15.6%

·     Flowers Foods (FLO) Q2 adj EPS $0.32 vs. est. $0.28; Q2 revs $1.02B vs. est. $1.01B; raises FY21 EPS view to $1.17-$1.22 from $1.10-$1.17 (est. $1.15), while narrows FY21 revenue view to $4.26B-$4.30B from $4.23B-$4.30B (est. $4.25B); Q2 adjusted EBITDA decreased 5.0% to $122.1M

·     Luminar Technologies (LAZR) 2Q adj EPS ($0.08) vs est. ($0.08) on revs $6.3Mm vs est. $6.32Mm; guides FY revs $30-33Mm vs est. $27.35Mm

·     Mister Car Wash (MCW) Q2 adj EPS $0.14 on revs $197.1M (vs. $101.9M last year); Q2 comp store sales increased 93% for the second quarter of 2021 compared to Q2 fiscal 2020; sees FY21 revenue net growth of about 30% and comparable stores sales growth of 29% to 33%

·     Rush Street interactive (RSI) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.04) vs. est. loss (-$0.12); Q2 revs $122.8M vs. est. $112.4M; boosts FY21 revenue view to $465M-$495M from $440M-$480M (est. $467.69M)

·     Hall of Fame Resort & Entertainment (HOFV) Q2 revenue +39% to $2.4M, Q2 net income was $15.5M, Q2 Adj EBITDA loss ($5.6M) vs $1.3M YoY and Q2 cash balance, including restricted cash, of $73.7M vs $68.5M as of March 31, 2021

 

Energy, Industrials and Materials

·     Kansas City Southern (KSU) says its board has determined that the latest unsolicited proposal from Canadian Pacific Railway (CP) does not constitute a superior proposal, and reaffirms its support of a merger with Canadian National Railway (CNI). Earlier this week, CP submitted a new $300 per share offer that values KSU at $31B. Under the terms of the CNI, KSU holders would receive $200 in cash and 1.129 CNI shares

·     Boeing’s (BA) Starliner space capsule launch is facing delays of several months as it will likely need repairs, the WSJ reported

·     Maxeon Solar (MAXN) 2Q EPS ($1.99) vs est. ($1.39) on revs $176Mm vs est. $181.1Mm; guides 3Q revs $220-240Mm vs est. $220Mm

·     Hydrofarm Holdings (HYFM) Q2 adj EPS $0.30 vs. est. $0.20; Q2 sales $133.8M vs. est. $134.7M; sees FY sales up 45%-50%

·     XL Fleet Corp. (XL) 2 EPS ($0.08) vs est. ($0.06) on revs $3.7M vs est. $4.4M; OEMs have pushed out the opening of new orders and extended lead times, indicating the shortage of its new commercial fleet vehicles will stretch into 2022

 

Financials

·     LegalZoom.com (LZ) Q2 adj EPS $0.03 vs est. $0.02 on revs $150.4M vs est. $140.5M, gross margin 67% from 68% in Q1; sees Q3 revs $143M-$147M, FY revs $570M-$578M vs est. $564.36M, FY adj EBITDA $55M-$59M, says 2021 quarterly revenue growth rates are affected by the impact Covid-19 had on business formations in 2020

·     Rocket Companies (RKT) Q2 adj EPS $0.46 vs. est. $0.49; Q2 revs $2.67B vs. est. $2.92B; Achieved record purchase closed loan origination volume, nearly doubling year-over-year; fourth consecutive quarter of meeting or exceeding guidance for closed loan, net rate lock volume, and gain on sale margins; generated $84 billion in mortgage origination closed loan volume and gain on sale margin of 2.78%

·     SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Q2 EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.06) on adj revenue $237.22M vs est. $218.6M, adj EBITDA $11.24M; Q2 total products 3.7M (+123% YoY), total members 2.6M (+113% YoY); sees Q3 adj net sales $245M-$255M vs est. $260.3M, adj EBITDA ($7M)-$3M; reaffirms FY guidance for adj net revs $980M and adj EBITDA $27M

·     ZipRecruiter (ZIP) Q2 net loss ($25.8M) adj EBITDA loss ($1.7M), sales $183M vs est. $160.4M; sees Q3 adj EBITDA $10M-$16M, sales $182-$188M vs est. $156M; raised FY forecast for sales to $651M-$665M from $580M-$600M (est. $595.3M); adj EBITDA to $30M-$38M from $20M-$28M

 

Healthcare

·     The FDA amended the emergency use authorizations granted for Pfizer (PFE)/BioNTech (BNTX) and Moderna (MRNA) COVID-19 vaccines on Thursday, allowing their use as booster shots in certain immunocompromised individuals

·     Acutus Medical (AFIB) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.89) vs. est. loss (-$0.84); Q2 revs $4.71M vs. est. $4.15M; leaving its year guidance unchanged and projects revenue to range between $22.0 million and $30.0 million; said Q2 direct segments which grew nearly 45% sequentially as compared to the first quarter of 2021

·     Bio-Life Solutions (BLFS) 2Q adj EPS $0.00 vs est. ($0.07) on revs $31.2Mm vs est. $27.6Mm; guides FY revs $108-117Mm vs est. $110.5Mm

·     Co-Diagnostics (CODX) 2Q revs $27.4Mm vs est. $20.8Mm; guides 3Q EPS $0.19-0.22 vs est. $0.22, sees 3Q revs $23-25Mm vs est. $18.1Mm

·     Moderna (MRNA) announced the publication of a new study showing that its COVID-19 vaccine led to durable antibody levels against newly detected COVID-19 variants.

·     Seer Inc. (SEER) 2Q EPS ($0.27) vs est. ($0.28) on revs $1.3Mm vs est. $787K

·     Spectrum Pharma (SPPI) 2Q adj EPS ($0.25) vs est. ($0.26), ended qtr with cash, equivalents & marketable of $158.8Mm

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

·     Disney (DIS) 3Q adj EPS $0.80 vs est. $0.55 on revs $17.02B vs est. $16.76B, qtr end Disney+ paid subs 116Mm, qtr end ESPN+ paid subs 14.9Mm, qtr end Hulu paid subs 42.8Mm; pleased with company’s trajectory amidst ongoing challenges of covid

·     Globant S.A. (GLOB) 2Q adj EPS $0.88 vs est. $0.84 on revs $305.3Mm vs est. $288.2Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS at least $0.92 vs est. $0.85, sees 3Q revs at least $325Mm vs est. $292.7Mm; guides FY adj EPS at least $3.58 vs est. $3.40 and revs at least $1.236B vs est. $1.145B

·     Latch Inc. (LTCH) Q2 loss ($40.1M) vs ($15M) loss YoY on revenue $9M vs est. $10.1M, adj EBITDA ($17.4M) from ($13.4M) YoY, total bookings $95.8M (+102% YoY), booked ARR $48.8M (+122% YoY); issued Q3 guidance for total bookings $55M-$90M, revenue $10M-$11M vs est. $14.79M, adj EBITDA ($32M)-($28M); now sees FY bookings $325-$340M and lowered its FY rev outlook to $38M-$42M from $47M-$51M vs est. $49.1M

·     LiveXLive Media (LIVX) Q1 EPS loss (-$0.12) vs. est. loss (-$0.06); Q1 revs up 269% to $38.8M vs. est. $28.03M; raises FY22 revenue view to $115M-$125M from $110M-$120M (est. $114.19M); Paid subscribers as of June 30, 2021 increased 32% to over 1,162,000, a net increase of approximately 285,000, as compared to 877,000 subscribers at June 30

·     Sierra Wireless (SWIR) 2Q adj EPS ($0.03) vs est. ($0.15) on revs $132.8Mm vs est. $119.8Mm, says product demand remains very strong, limited production has resumed at Vietnam facility but experiencing production interruptions due to covid

·     Viavi Solutions (VIAV) Q4 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.19; Q4 revs $310.9M vs. est. $300.83M; sees Q1 adj EPS $0.20-$0.22 vs. est. $0.20; sees Q3 revs $303M-$317M vs. est. $309.01M

·     Cricut (CRCT) Q2 EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.20; Q2 revs $334.49M vs. est. $319.08M; Connected machine revenue was $146.3 million, up 29.0% over Q2 2020; subscriptions revenue was $50.7 million, up 110.9% over Q2 2020; accessories and materials revenue was $137.5 million, up 40.4% over Q2 2020; gross margin was 39.0%, up from 31.1% over Q2 2020

·     ContextLogic (WISH) Q2 revs $656M vs. est. $722.9M; shares tumble over 20% after saying demand slowed and costs rose more than expected (downgraded ay Cowen and JPM)