Early Look

Thursday, June 10, 2021

Futures	Up/Down	%	Last
Dow	80.00	0.23%	34,410
S&P 500	2.25	0.07%	4,211
Nasdaq	-37.50	0.27%	13,766

 

 

U.S. stock futures are mixed into key monthly inflation data as the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set to be revealed at 8:30 AM, with an expected MoM rise of 0.4% for both headline and core prices and YoY prices to rise 4.7% (which would be the biggest YoY rise since 2008) and 3.4% (would be highest since YoY core spike since 1993) for headline and core respectively. Treasury yields have been sliding over the last week to one-month lows around 1.50% for the benchmark 10-year ahead of the data, as it appears markets have accepted the recent rise in prices as “transitory” which is what the Fed has been echoing for weeks now. While the Fed has pledged not to hike interest rates before 2023, some economists say that is wishful thinking if these levels of inflation keep up. The S&P 500 flirted with a record high Wednesday before retreating in afternoon trading, once again nearly tagging its 4,238.04-record intraday high. The yield on 10-year Treasuries sank to almost 1.47%, while the 30-year bond touched 2.148%, the lowest since March 1. On a weekly basis, the S&P 500 is on track for its smallest range as a percentage of the prior week’s close since mid-October 2017. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 97 points to 28,958, the Shanghai Index rose 19 points to 3,610 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -3 points to 28,738. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 320 points to top 15,600, while the FTSE 100 is up around 25 points to 7,105. Not much going on in individual stock news other than several new IPO’s pricing overnight and open for trading today along with momentum sectors remaining very volatile including Reddit/WSB related “meme” stocks and Bitcoin leveraged stocks.

Events Calendar for Today

·     8:30 AM EST      Consumer Prices (CPI) MoM for May…est. 0.4%

·     8:30 AM EST      Consumer Prices (CPI) YoY for May…est. 4.7%

·     8:30 AM EST      CPI Ex: Food & Energy MoM for May…est. 0.4%

·     8:30 AM EST      CPI Ex: Food & Energy YoY for May…est. 3.4%

·     8:30 AM ET         Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 370K

·     8:30 AM EST      Continuing Claims…est. 3.602M

·     10:30 AM ET      Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data

·     2:00 PM EST       Federal Budget for May

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: A LOT, FCEL, JW/A, KSPN, SIG

·     Earnings After the Close: AVO, CGRN, CHWY, NVGS, PLAY, SEAC, TPCS, TYME, ZDGE

 

Other Key Events:

·     Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10

·     Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10

·     FBN Securities Silicon Valley Tech Tour (virtual), 6/10-6/11

·     Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10

·     Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10

·     Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10

·     Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11

·     Piper Global Exchange & FinTech Conference (virtual), 6/9-6/10

·     REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10

 

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index slipped -7.71 points, or 0.18%, to 4,219.55

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14

·     The Nasdaq Composite dipped -13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75

·     The Russell 2000 Index declined -16.63 points, or 0.71% to 2,327.13

 

 

Macro	Up/Down	Last
Nymex	0.08	70.04
Brent	0.14	72.36
Gold	-9.00	1,879.55
EUR/USD	-0.0018	1.2162
JPY/USD	-0.12	19.51
10-Year Note	+0.012	1.501%

 

 

World News

·     A bipartisan group of House moderates on Wednesday unveiled an eight-year, $1.25 trillion infrastructure plan designed to help break the months-long impasse over President Biden’s top domestic legislative priority. The framework offered by the 58-member Problem Solvers Caucus calls for more than $959 billion for traditional infrastructure, including highways, bridges, rail, airports and waterways; $25 billion of that money would be set aside for electric vehicle infrastructure, including electric buses.

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     GameStop (GME) Q1 adj EPS loss (-$0.45) vs. est. loss (-$0.84); Q1 sales $1.3B vs. est. $1.16B; says may offer and sell up to 5 mln shares of its common stock, from time to time, in “at-the-market” offerings – shares slip on offering; named two Amazon executives as its CEO and CFO – Matt Furlong will succeed George Sherman as CEO and Mike Recupero will succeed Jim Bell as CFO; continues to suspend guidance; says Q2 sales trends continue to reflect momentum, with may total sales increasing approximately 27% compared to last year;

·     Oxford Industries (OXM) Q1 adj EPS $1.89 vs. est. $1.06; Q1 sales $266M vs. est. $233.1M; raises FY21 EPS view to $4.85-$5.15 from $2.80-$3.20 (est. $3.05); raises FY21 revenue view to $1.015B-$1.05B from $940M-$980M (est. $968.86M)

·     RH (RH) shares rise 6%; Q1 adj EPS $4.89 vs. est. $4.10; Q1 revs $860.8M vs. est. $757.65M; raising our outlook for revenue growth in fy21 to a range of 25% to 30% from prior outlook of 15%-20%; sees 2q adj operating margin in range of 25.9% to 26.1% and Q2 revs growth 35%-37%; Q1 adjusted gross margin of 47.3% of sales vs. 41.8% a year ago and 46.1% consensus

·     Celsius Holdings (CELH) 6.52M share Spot Secondary priced at $62.50

·     Leslie’s (LESL) 24.5M share Secondary priced at $27.64

 

Energy, Industrials and Materials

·     Blocked by US President Joe Biden, Canada’s TC Energy (TRP) said Wednesday it had officially terminated the Keystone XL Pipeline project, throwing in the towel on a controversial initiative opposed by environmental activists.

·     Callon Petroleum (CPE) and Continental Resources (CLR) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital with a price target of $54 (up from $44) and tgt of $40 (up from $34) respectively, citing strong relative performance and believes that its upside is now in line with its peers

·     Marathon Oil (MRO) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital with a price target of $18 from $14 saying the stock provides an attractive opportunity to express bullishness on oil prices, while the company’s “ultra-low” break-even point and maintenance capital program support robust free cash flow generation at even depressed commodity prices

·     Greif Inc. (GEF) Q1 adj EPS $1.13 vs. est. $1.06; Q2 sales $1.34B vs. est. $1.26B; Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $52.5 million to a source of $152.3 million; total debt decreased by $368.9 million

 

Financials

·     AllianceBernstein L.P. (AB) announced that preliminary assets under management increased to $731 billion during May 2021 from $724 billion at the end of April; firmwide net inflows, coupled with market appreciation, drove the 1% increase

·     Franklin Resources, Inc. (BEN) reported preliminary month-end assets under management of $1,543.5 billion at May 31, 2021, compared to $1,529.3 billion at April 30, 2021.

·     Virtus Investment partners, Inc. (VRTS) reported total assets under management (aum) as of May 31, 2021 of $175.5 billion. in addition, the company provided services to $3.7 billion of other fee-earning assets that are not included in assets under management.

·     Bank of Hawaii (BOH) announces the offering of 7.2M depositary shares for gross proceeds of $180M

·     Clarivate (CLVT) 38.462M share Secondary priced at $26.00

 

Healthcare

·     Aclaris Therapeutics (ACRS) 7.04M share Spot Secondary priced at $17.75

·     Apria (APR) 4.5M share Secondary priced at $27.00

·     Clover Health Investments (CLOV) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Bank America with an unchanged price target of $10 noting the 100% rally in the past week and shares are now trading at a 70% premium to Alignment Healthcare (ALHC), its closest comp

·     LifeStance (LFST) 40M share IPO priced at $18.00

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

·     The global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% this year to ~$527B according to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates. For 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category

·     ChipMOS (IMOS) reports May revenue of $84.4M (+2.4% M/M; +30.7% Y/Y)

·     TSMC’s (TSM) May revenue rose 19.8% Y/Y and 0.9% M/M to NT$112.360B

·     Xilinx (XLNX) has acquired Silexica, a privately-held provider of C/C++ programming and analysis tools; terms not disclosed

·     Genius Sports (GENI) 22M share Secondary priced at $19.00

·     Materialise (MTLS) 4M share Spot Secondary priced at $24.00

·     PLBY Group (PLBY) 4.72M share Secondary priced at $46.00

·     Zeta Global (ZETA) 21.5M share IPO priced at $10.00

·     1stDibs (DIBS) 5.75M share IPO priced at $20.00

·     Monday.com (MNDY) 3.7M share IPO priced at $155.00

·     Jamf Holding (JAMF) 8.5M share Secondary priced at $33.00

·     Asana (ASAN) disclosed that its CEO Dustin Moskovitz bought 500K shares of common stock on June 7th in a total transaction size of $19.7M

·     Latch Inc. (LTCH) 1Q revs $6.6Mm +143%, booked ARR $38.9Mm +120%, total bookings $71.7Mm +89%; says plans to increase investments in sales and marketing as well as new experiences and products; guides 2Q revs $9-10Mm with total bookings $82-87Mm and adj EBITDA ($17Mm) to ($20Mm); sees FY revs $47-51Mm with total bookings $290-325Mm and adj EBITDA ($75Mm) to ($95Mm)

·     Verint Systems (VRNT) Q1 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.35 on revs $202Mm vs. est. $196.5Mm, cloud revs up more than 35% YoY; guides FY adj EPS $2.23 at midpoint vs. est. $2.19, sees FY revs $860Mm +/- 2% vs. est. $861.7Mm (sees cloud revs +30-35%, sees new PLE bookings 10+%)